PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

SharpBloom

0x123678c5375ee345378d828bff70dd6780f14c18

Realised P&L
$-1.14
Volume
$100.59
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$0.30

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration51.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027? · Yes0.0710.021$0.30$0.75
Will ByteDance have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$1.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-31 18:53Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETBUY0.969999996$2.41
08-27 19:46Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group BBUY0.473$3.01
08-22 10:53Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.35$2.80
08-21 20:57Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon NakashimaBUY0.41$3.39
08-15 11:13Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETBUY0.9299999888$3.31
07-30 06:07Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.955$1.74
07-30 03:52Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?SELL0.95$1.75
07-22 07:12Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.853$1.89
07-08 14:09Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9689993158$1.32
07-08 14:09Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.9539999923$1.74
07-08 14:09Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7799999821$1.74
07-08 14:09Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.9589999881$1.77
06-27 20:22Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETBUY0.9099999592$1.56
04-30 13:41Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETBUY0.89$6.01