Po1yBot-Uk4bUfbUmy
0x1235b186c2d9b4869964721ae371a5374f75d408
- Realised P&L
- $-170.04
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 157
- Open portfolio
- $21.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded157
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · No | 0.390 | 0.805 | $10.20 | +$5.26 |
| Will the Republican Party win the IL-01 House seat? · No | 0.931 | 0.977 | $5.19 | +$0.24 |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.705 | $3.52 | +$0.72 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-06 House seat? · Yes | 0.931 | 0.972 | $1.50 | +$0.06 |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · No | 0.220 | 0.215 | $0.49 | −$0.01 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.011 | $0.47 | −$0.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.90at 0.191Solana Up or Down - February 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
- +$37.36at 0.614Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
- +$14.70at 0.230Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
- +$10.30at 0.590Will Trump say "Charlie Kirk" during the State of the Union address?
- +$8.64at 0.290Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 13:59 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.34 |
| 08-08 05:50 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 05:50 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 08-07 19:13 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $2.10 |
| 08-07 19:13 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $3.12 |
| 08-07 13:13 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.123 | $0.62 |
| 08-06 21:24 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 21:22 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $5.10 |
| 08-06 19:47 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 11:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.281 | $1.40 |
| 08-06 08:58 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.323 | $2.26 |
| 08-06 08:58 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.322 | $1.44 |
| 08-04 18:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4119999302 | $2.22 |
| 08-04 17:13 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.424 | $1.14 |
| 08-03 18:45 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $1.11 |