PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Po1yBot-Uk4bUfbUmy

0x1235b186c2d9b4869964721ae371a5374f75d408

Realised P&L
$-170.04
Volume
$5.2k
Markets traded
157
Open portfolio
$21.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded157
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · No0.3900.805$10.20+$5.26
Will the Republican Party win the IL-01 House seat? · No0.9310.977$5.19+$0.24
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? · Yes0.5600.705$3.52+$0.72
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-06 House seat? · Yes0.9310.972$1.50+$0.06
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · No0.2200.215$0.49−$0.01
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes0.0240.011$0.47−$0.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-12 13:59Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?BUY0.02$1.34
08-08 05:50US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?BUY0.4899999804$5.00
08-08 05:50US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?BUY0.4899999804$5.00
08-07 19:13US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.46$2.10
08-07 19:13US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.46$3.12
08-07 13:13US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?SELL0.123$0.62
08-06 21:24US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.4399999648$5.00
08-06 21:22US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.51$5.10
08-06 19:47US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.5$5.00
08-06 11:02US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?SELL0.281$1.40
08-06 08:58US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?SELL0.323$2.26
08-06 08:58US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?SELL0.322$1.44
08-04 18:02US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.4119999302$2.22
08-04 17:13US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?SELL0.424$1.14
08-03 18:45US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?SELL0.58$1.11