PolyBot

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Traders

okcoolstorybro

0x122cdd9db64fd8dc3ebab813218e3effe21f821f

Realised P&L
$2.4k
Volume
$16.20M
Markets traded
683
Open portfolio
$3.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded683
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7040.715$1.9k+$29.90
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.7000.715$1.3k+$26.57
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? · No0.7700.815$286.06+$15.79
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3100.028$9.32−$93.91
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.020$8.92−$57.98
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · Yes0.0960.032$8.19−$16.35
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2130.020$3.89−$37.45
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16? · Yes0.5970.000$0.00−$77.65
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? · No0.7820.000$0.00−$1.9k
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? · No0.7610.000$0.00−$1.0k
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026? · Yes0.6070.000$0.00−$962.34
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? · No0.2770.000$0.00−$150.19
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22? · Yes0.6040.000$0.00−$96.60
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$38.00
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00−$38.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 02:05Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?BUY0.77$270.26
10-30 20:38Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.18$1.2k
10-30 20:37Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.1852725367$2.2k
10-30 20:35Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.1901332447$1.1k
10-29 21:07Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?BUY0.348$41.76
10-29 17:52Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.151$6.04
10-29 17:51Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0580425043$14.64
10-29 17:51Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.68$203.32
10-29 17:51Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.0914480361$8.4k
10-29 17:51Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.7315306177$47.6k
10-29 17:51Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.5476285575$20.4k
10-29 17:51Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.7766608821$102.1k
10-29 17:48Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0160227273$3.53
10-29 17:48Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0220165322$6.66
10-29 17:47Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.012$23.81