0x12268457c2ab869208bf78047005addc8990f465
0x12268457c2ab869208bf78047005addc8990f465
- Realised P&L
- $-35.03
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 178
- Open portfolio
- $12.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded178
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.635 | $5.21 | +$0.37 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.105 | $4.04 | +$1.05 |
| US x China tariff agreement by September 30? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.845 | $1.88 | −$0.10 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.062 | 0.070 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.09at 0.373SV 07 Elversberg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5
- +$5.90at 0.157US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Rio Noguchi
- +$5.56at 0.595Saints vs. Cowboys
- +$4.90at 0.209US Open, Qualification WTA: Mai Hontama vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia
- +$4.47at 0.472Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 02:24 | US x China tariff agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.8899996404 | $1.98 |
| 09-24 17:06 | Singapore Open: Completed Match: Xinyu Wang vs Tatiana Prozorova | BUY | 0.99 | $2.98 |
| 09-23 02:35 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.99 |
| 09-23 02:34 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0733944954 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 02:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? | SELL | 0.796 | $2.02 |
| 09-22 19:24 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.992 | $3.09 |
| 09-22 18:57 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9599998456 | $1.99 |
| 09-22 18:57 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9599996928 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 16:02 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $2.12 |
| 09-22 14:23 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $1.01 |
| 09-22 14:20 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $4.91 |
| 09-22 14:15 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.25 |
| 09-22 14:09 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999878 | $4.84 |
| 09-22 08:53 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.0619999971 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 07:28 | Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |