0x12218feff839249ec8828a169d6dd524c6f7a5bc
0x12218feff839249ec8828a169d6dd524c6f7a5bc
- Realised P&L
- $-70.12
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $41.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solana Up or Down on October 9? · Up | 0.774 | 0.810 | $34.48 | +$1.52 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on October 9? · Up | 0.920 | 0.905 | $6.72 | −$0.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$204.37at 0.297Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
- +$136.78at 0.521Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
- +$105.60at 0.592Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
- +$104.20at 0.367Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
- +$83.63at 0.466Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 05:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | BUY | 0.889999962 | $2.11 |
| 10-09 05:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | BUY | 0.9299999812 | $1.98 |
| 10-09 05:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | BUY | 0.8199999744 | $1.28 |
| 10-09 05:07 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.9199999946 | $6.83 |
| 10-09 04:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | BUY | 0.7199999659 | $5.07 |
| 10-09 04:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | BUY | 0.7199999865 | $2.13 |
| 10-09 04:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5699998305 | $1.11 |
| 10-09 04:16 | Solana Up or Down - October 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | BUY | 0.7099999827 | $1.23 |
| 10-09 04:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5399998634 | $1.66 |
| 10-09 04:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 04:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $1.45 |
| 10-09 04:02 | Solana Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.82 | $10.76 |
| 10-09 04:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.5499999759 | $6.85 |
| 10-09 04:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.56 | $1.75 |
| 10-09 04:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.5699998966 | $2.26 |