PolyBot

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Traders

Arif668

0x121d5c665a9b3497815216b07bc0543e20cd832a

Realised P&L
$-2.7k
Volume
$341.6k
Markets traded
277
Open portfolio
$795.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded277
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.1790.167$315.39$24.61
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0310.048$186.12+$65.93
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · Yes0.5000.245$110.25$114.75
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.5640.535$94.83$5.17
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in September? · Yes0.7640.325$85.06$114.94
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No0.2100.075$3.57$6.43
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00$100.00
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026? · No0.2050.000$0.00$130.00
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.1320.000$0.00$10.00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$20.00
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of August 31 2026? · No0.6600.000$0.00$6.60
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00$10.00
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$112.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 4? · Yes0.8060.000$0.00$120.00
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 22? · No0.0490.000$0.00$5.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 03:37Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.5641491246$100.00
09-16 16:18Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETBUY0.6099999756$5.00
09-16 16:03Dogecoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETBUY0.6699999839$10.00
09-16 14:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETBUY0.1$5.00
09-16 14:27Solana Up or Down - September 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETBUY0.9399999981$10.00
09-16 14:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETBUY0.119999999$5.00
09-16 14:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETBUY0.5899999725$6.00
09-15 18:55Will Zcash reach $1300 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.7310065932$145.24
09-08 16:32Will Zcash reach $1300 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7549168921$150.00
09-08 04:19Will the price of Solana be above $110 on September 9?SELL0.93$21.87
09-06 06:38Will the price of Solana be above $110 on September 9?BUY0.8499999957$20.00
09-06 06:36Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 6?BUY0.005$2.00
09-06 06:35Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 6?BUY0.007$4.97
09-06 06:35Will the price of Solana be above $100 on September 6?BUY0.02$1.83
09-06 06:32Will the price of Solana be above $100 on September 6?BUY0.0175847484$1.12