Arif668
0x121d5c665a9b3497815216b07bc0543e20cd832a
- Realised P&L
- $-2.7k
- Volume
- $341.6k
- Markets traded
- 277
- Open portfolio
- $795.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded277
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$749.97at 0.271US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
- +$727.53at 0.305US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
- +$649.03at 0.602US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
- +$438.61at 0.540US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
- +$393.78at 0.629US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:37 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5641491246 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 16:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 16:03 | Dogecoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 14:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 14:27 | Solana Up or Down - September 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.9399999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 14:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.119999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 14:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5899999725 | $6.00 |
| 09-15 18:55 | Will Zcash reach $1300 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7310065932 | $145.24 |
| 09-08 16:32 | Will Zcash reach $1300 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7549168921 | $150.00 |
| 09-08 04:19 | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on September 9? | SELL | 0.93 | $21.87 |
| 09-06 06:38 | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on September 9? | BUY | 0.8499999957 | $20.00 |
| 09-06 06:36 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 6? | BUY | 0.005 | $2.00 |
| 09-06 06:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 6? | BUY | 0.007 | $4.97 |
| 09-06 06:35 | Will the price of Solana be above $100 on September 6? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.83 |
| 09-06 06:32 | Will the price of Solana be above $100 on September 6? | BUY | 0.0175847484 | $1.12 |