PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

denniswin

0x121a4d17df6e147ffa6c9ea1f357bb1a5760ca6b

Realised P&L
$477.86
Volume
$203.4k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$3.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8380.864$2.1k+$60.69
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3500.375$412.50+$27.50
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.0800.095$313.50+$49.50
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2400.050$203.00−$770.40
Will the Republicans win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0560.053$115.53−$5.83
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1900.095$109.28−$109.28
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.1700.085$99.45−$99.45
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.038$25.08−$60.72
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1060.000$0.00−$98.58
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$108.00
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$9.99
Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$19.80
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$9.99
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1080.000$0.00−$98.93
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$9.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 04:36Will the Republicans win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.0650999894$10.00
10-08 04:32Will the Republicans win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.062811565$10.00
10-08 04:02Will the Republicans win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.0554361657$100.00
10-08 03:58Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.35$385.00
10-08 03:57Will the Republicans win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.032$1.37
10-06 00:44Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.08$264.00
10-06 00:39Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.838$2.0k
09-17 00:13Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.066$99.00
09-16 23:41Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.45$495.00
09-16 14:42Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.36$396.00
09-14 03:03Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.29$394.40
09-13 00:57Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8$1.9k
07-03 14:23Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.4$170.40
07-02 01:01Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.13$85.80
06-22 01:59Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?BUY0.011$0.02