KellyCollins
0x121312badc338f50ef6afcd79d72233f237c21e4
- Realised P&L
- $-85.38
- Volume
- $129.2k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $39.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 28? · No | 0.997 | 0.995 | $39.16 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.04at 0.991Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$1.02at 0.997Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
- +$0.18at 0.995Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 24?
- +$0.15at 0.996Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 25?
- +$0.14at 0.996Will the price of Solana be above $80 on July 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 04:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.997 | $39.26 |
| 09-26 05:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.53 |
| 09-25 04:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.996 | $38.96 |
| 09-23 07:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.53 |
| 09-21 09:44 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on September 21? | BUY | 0.998 | $34.38 |
| 09-19 06:49 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.43 |
| 09-18 06:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.53 |
| 09-17 07:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.997 | $37.89 |
| 09-16 06:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $26.12 |
| 09-15 07:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.997 | $29.62 |
| 09-12 06:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 12? | BUY | 0.998 | $38.28 |
| 09-09 06:58 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 9? | BUY | 0.997 | $31.98 |
| 09-08 08:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 8? | BUY | 0.997 | $34.63 |
| 09-05 03:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 5? | BUY | 0.997 | $32.94 |
| 09-04 05:21 | Will the price of Solana be above $90 on September 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $37.17 |