0x120b173AFD6554502F124Ea6F279644AEcB31BE6-1779889648669
0x120b173afd6554502f124ea6f279644aecb31be6
- Realised P&L
- $19.32
- Volume
- $530.07
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $8.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kendrick Lamar have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.190 | $4.32 | −$5.68 |
| Will Travis Scott have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.115 | $3.84 | −$6.16 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Bruno Fernandes record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.05at 0.275Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?
- +$13.16at 0.174Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$11.12at 0.477Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?
- +$6.40at 0.587Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 19:58 | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.2299999922 | $22.35 |
| 07-18 09:49 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.41 | $24.12 |
| 06-08 18:08 | Will Bruno Fernandes record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1399999888 | $10.00 |
| 06-08 18:06 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 05-31 07:08 | Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026? | BUY | 0.2649999898 | $15.00 |
| 05-28 07:38 | Will Kendrick Lamar have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 05-28 07:37 | Will Travis Scott have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | BUY | 0.2997981938 | $10.00 |
| 05-27 14:03 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.5799999871 | $9.00 |
| 05-27 14:02 | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? | BUY | 0.4699999915 | $10.00 |
| 05-27 13:57 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1059999912 | $10.00 |