0x120840e4eA13e8b1C8d8389898698d13410C9Cbe-1748805007533
0x120840e4ea13e8b1c8d8389898698d13410c9cbe
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $52.0k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $425.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.011 | $425.27 | −$1.0k |
| Will Poland beat Finland? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Will FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.36 |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-09? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$95.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$85.25at 0.570Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?
- +$66.21at 0.350Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 18:54 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1289999998 | $416.82 |
| 06-18 18:51 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1289999999 | $1000.00 |
| 03-22 15:10 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.0389999998 | $184.00 |
| 03-02 22:24 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.037999996 | $9.00 |
| 03-02 22:24 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.038 | $456.00 |
| 03-01 22:19 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.039 | $781.00 |
| 12-09 23:56 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $2.36 |
| 12-09 19:52 | Will FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1 | $100.00 |
| 12-09 19:52 | Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-09? | BUY | 0.06 | $95.40 |
| 12-02 19:55 | Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02? | BUY | 0.5699999979 | $113.00 |
| 06-10 19:23 | Will Poland beat Finland? | BUY | 0.2299999968 | $50.00 |
| 06-01 21:11 | Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? | SELL | 0.5892710419 | $163.06 |
| 06-01 21:05 | Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? | BUY | 0.3499999986 | $96.85 |