vrainic
0x12053c2351ee9fee552a6f82011798420de72a4a
- Realised P&L
- $134.60
- Volume
- $42.9k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.041 | $503.94 | −$15.81 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.038 | $471.38 | −$295.96 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No | 0.549 | 0.715 | $57.91 | +$13.44 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.572 | 0.715 | $37.18 | +$7.42 |
| GTA VI released by November 30? · No | 0.037 | 0.034 | $32.99 | −$2.57 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.077 | 0.057 | $9.32 | −$3.38 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.945 | $4.72 | +$0.33 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.131 | 0.126 | $3.77 | −$0.16 |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.655 | $3.27 | +$0.28 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.211 | 0.162 | $1.61 | −$0.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$607.01at 0.456Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?
- +$22.38at 0.814Another GTA VI trailer released by July 31?
- +$5.70at 0.715Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?
- +$2.44at 0.861Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
- +$2.24at 0.695Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 21:18 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | SELL | 0.004 | $28.77 |
| 09-16 23:33 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.047 | $24.69 |
| 09-16 23:06 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.046 | $10.57 |
| 09-16 23:05 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.045 | $21.11 |
| 09-16 22:15 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.044 | $175.92 |
| 09-15 17:57 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.58 | $17.98 |
| 09-15 17:48 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.58 | $24.36 |
| 09-15 07:06 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 09-15 06:51 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 09-15 06:51 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.53 | $26.50 |
| 09-04 20:48 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.036 | $3.60 |
| 09-04 20:45 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.036 | $14.87 |
| 09-04 20:45 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.035 | $7.35 |
| 09-04 20:45 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.034 | $10.09 |
| 09-04 00:12 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.028 | $21.00 |