PolyBot

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Traders

vrainic

0x12053c2351ee9fee552a6f82011798420de72a4a

Realised P&L
$134.60
Volume
$42.9k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration94.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 21:18Trump renames AI by September 30?SELL0.004$28.77
09-16 23:33Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.047$24.69
09-16 23:06Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.046$10.57
09-16 23:05Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.045$21.11
09-16 22:15Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.044$175.92
09-15 17:57Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.58$17.98
09-15 17:48Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.58$24.36
09-15 07:06Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.88$4.40
09-15 06:51Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.54$5.40
09-15 06:51Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.53$26.50
09-04 20:48Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.036$3.60
09-04 20:45Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.036$14.87
09-04 20:45Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.035$7.35
09-04 20:45Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.034$10.09
09-04 00:12Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.028$21.00