0x1205243b7ee766ddfced242bb908257eceeb13e2
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $142.0k
- Markets traded
- 100
- Open portfolio
- $226.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded100
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) · Bills | 0.650 | 0.920 | $226.46 | +$66.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.212Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$736.59at 0.728Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$612.59at 0.158Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$451.99at 0.340Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$406.40at 0.527Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 21:19 | Spread: Bills (-2.5) | BUY | 0.649999999 | $160.00 |
| 09-17 21:13 | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-17? | SELL | 0.9416319582 | $165.94 |
| 09-17 20:00 | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.2999999989 | $52.87 |
| 09-06 14:55 | Will Burgos CF win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.3299999926 | $27.77 |
| 08-30 19:54 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-30? | BUY | 0.16 | $27.92 |
| 08-30 19:15 | RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 08-30 19:14 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-30? | BUY | 0.66 | $132.34 |
| 08-30 19:12 | Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? | SELL | 0.68 | $118.26 |
| 08-30 19:12 | Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6899999983 | $120.00 |
| 08-30 19:05 | Will Valencia CF win on 2026-08-30? | SELL | 0.995 | $219.48 |
| 08-30 19:05 | Will RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Valencia CF end in a draw? | SELL | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 08-30 18:28 | Will RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Valencia CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 08-30 17:54 | Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-30? | SELL | 0.84 | $13.03 |
| 08-30 17:51 | RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Valencia CF: Valencia CF O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.65 | $51.07 |
| 08-30 17:22 | Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-30? | BUY | 0.3499999742 | $5.43 |