Man.Visa
0x1200f4bcd1a4540af549947b44ae0f2fc1097813
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $163.7k
- Markets traded
- 211
- Open portfolio
- $165.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded211
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.795 | $79.50 | +$15.50 |
| Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.227 | 0.335 | $31.55 | +$10.20 |
| Will Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera win the next Lima mayoral elections? · No | 0.850 | 0.830 | $25.73 | −$0.62 |
| Will Eduardo Camavinga join Manchester United? · No | 0.602 | 0.889 | $22.23 | +$7.17 |
| Will Rodri join Barcelona? · No | 0.179 | 0.131 | $6.28 | −$2.33 |
| Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.015 | $0.03 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$130.00at 0.350Counter-Strike: TNC vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B
- +$55.49at 0.640Counter-Strike: Phantom vs against All authority (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C
- +$50.61at 0.693Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)
- +$44.00at 0.110Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?
- +$41.63at 0.150Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Nemiga (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 14:05 | Will Eduardo Camavinga join Manchester United? | SELL | 0.993 | $24.82 |
| 08-03 00:59 | Spread: CF América (-2.5) | SELL | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 08-03 00:27 | Spread: CF América (-2.5) | BUY | 0.88 | $114.40 |
| 08-02 22:00 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-02? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 08-02 21:58 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-02? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-02 21:58 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-02? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 08-01 22:40 | Spread: CA Penarol Montevideo (-2.5) | BUY | 0.88 | $79.20 |
| 08-01 19:04 | Will CS Huancayo win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.89 | $76.01 |
| 08-01 02:54 | Spread: Atlético San Luis (-2.5) | BUY | 0.93 | $195.30 |
| 08-01 00:31 | Spread: Club Puebla (-1.5) | BUY | 0.95 | $190.00 |
| 07-30 01:20 | Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-07-29? | BUY | 0.98 | $117.60 |
| 07-29 22:46 | Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 07-29 19:07 | Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.875 | $175.00 |
| 07-29 13:54 | KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.95 | $199.50 |
| 07-28 03:20 | Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) | BUY | 0.94 | $23.50 |