Man.Visa
0x1200f4bcd1a4540af549947b44ae0f2fc1097813
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $165.3k
- Markets traded
- 214
- Open portfolio
- $217.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded214
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.140 | $119.88 | −$171.95 |
| Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.976 | $97.60 | +$33.60 |
| Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.028 | $0.06 | +$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$130.00at 0.350Counter-Strike: TNC vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B
- +$54.46at 0.646Counter-Strike: Phantom vs against All authority (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C
- +$50.39at 0.694Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)
- +$44.00at 0.110Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?
- +$41.63at 0.150Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Nemiga (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 20:11 | Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-08-22? | BUY | 0.8954905714 | $62.68 |
| 08-22 20:11 | Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5) | BUY | 0.987 | $197.40 |
| 08-21 23:12 | Will Eduardo Camavinga join Manchester United? | SELL | 0.971 | $16.78 |
| 08-21 23:12 | Will Eduardo Camavinga join Manchester United? | SELL | 0.972 | $7.50 |
| 08-11 02:31 | Will Rodri join Barcelona? | SELL | 0.09 | $4.33 |
| 08-09 14:05 | Will Eduardo Camavinga join Manchester United? | SELL | 0.993 | $24.82 |
| 08-03 00:59 | Spread: CF América (-2.5) | SELL | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 08-03 00:27 | Spread: CF América (-2.5) | BUY | 0.88 | $114.40 |
| 08-02 22:00 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-02? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 08-02 21:58 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-02? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-02 21:58 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-02? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 08-01 22:40 | Spread: CA Penarol Montevideo (-2.5) | BUY | 0.88 | $79.20 |
| 08-01 19:04 | Will CS Huancayo win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.89 | $76.01 |
| 08-01 02:54 | Spread: Atlético San Luis (-2.5) | BUY | 0.93 | $195.30 |
| 08-01 00:31 | Spread: Club Puebla (-1.5) | BUY | 0.95 | $190.00 |