PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Man.Visa

0x1200f4bcd1a4540af549947b44ae0f2fc1097813

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$165.3k
Markets traded
214
Open portfolio
$217.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded214
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes0.3400.140$119.88$171.95
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? · No0.6400.976$97.60+$33.60
Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes0.0070.028$0.06+$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-22 20:11Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-08-22?BUY0.8954905714$62.68
08-22 20:11Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)BUY0.987$197.40
08-21 23:12Will Eduardo Camavinga join Manchester United?SELL0.971$16.78
08-21 23:12Will Eduardo Camavinga join Manchester United?SELL0.972$7.50
08-11 02:31Will Rodri join Barcelona?SELL0.09$4.33
08-09 14:05Will Eduardo Camavinga join Manchester United?SELL0.993$24.82
08-03 00:59Spread: CF América (-2.5)SELL0.06$0.60
08-03 00:27Spread: CF América (-2.5)BUY0.88$114.40
08-02 22:00Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-02?SELL0.001$0.03
08-02 21:58Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-02?SELL0.001$0.02
08-02 21:58Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-02?SELL0.01$0.05
08-01 22:40Spread: CA Penarol Montevideo (-2.5)BUY0.88$79.20
08-01 19:04Will CS Huancayo win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.89$76.01
08-01 02:54Spread: Atlético San Luis (-2.5)BUY0.93$195.30
08-01 00:31Spread: Club Puebla (-1.5)BUY0.95$190.00