kaydenlll
0x11fd479aa7861ebb2a4b5f9da2714ea21c210338
- Realised P&L
- $20.44
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 162
- Open portfolio
- $20.94
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded162
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.987 | 0.983 | $9.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.935 | $5.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.805 | $4.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.715 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.33at 0.701Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
- +$12.25at 0.597Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$8.87at 0.507Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?
- +$8.38at 0.547Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$8.36at 0.644Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 03:12 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 03:11 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.8099999741 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 03:11 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 04:22 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.559999832 | $1.20 |
| 09-17 04:54 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 04:40 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 02:16 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $4.00 |
| 09-14 02:15 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 02:15 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 07:51 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 07:48 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 04:11 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 13:40 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 08:22 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 08:20 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.5699999555 | $5.00 |