0x11fcdcb86a6bbe97388b5351d4cfef107fa38262
- Realised P&L
- $-6.8k
- Volume
- $570.2k
- Markets traded
- 3,434
- Open portfolio
- $55.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,434
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$836.34at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on July 18?
- +$693.21at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 19?
- +$554.32at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 18?
- +$553.72at 0.215Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 6?
- +$437.22at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 23:50 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.11 |
| 09-18 23:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 09-18 23:48 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.9899999058 | $4.52 |
| 09-18 23:47 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 09-18 22:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.995 | $51.24 |
| 09-17 16:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 09-17 16:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9890291262 | $50.93 |
| 09-17 16:12 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $50.27 |
| 09-17 05:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.50 |
| 09-17 03:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 09-17 03:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.95 | $6.95 |
| 09-17 01:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.83 | $29.05 |
| 09-17 01:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.83 | $6.64 |
| 09-16 15:43 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.6 | $6.00 |
| 09-16 15:43 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.90 |