0x11fcdcb86a6bbe97388b5351d4cfef107fa38262
- Realised P&L
- $-6.2k
- Volume
- $513.7k
- Markets traded
- 2,775
- Open portfolio
- $49.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,775
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$836.34at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on July 18?
- +$693.25at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 19?
- +$554.35at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 18?
- +$553.72at 0.215Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 6?
- +$437.25at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:18 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-04 15:16 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.06 |
| 08-04 15:16 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.08 |
| 08-04 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.94 | $6.58 |
| 08-04 15:07 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-04 15:07 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.42 |
| 08-04 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.36 |
| 08-04 14:55 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.998 | $43.13 |
| 08-04 14:55 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $35.95 |
| 08-04 14:55 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.07 |
| 08-04 14:54 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9299999722 | $1.67 |
| 08-04 14:45 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-04 14:45 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.06 |
| 08-04 14:45 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.43 |
| 08-04 14:40 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.94 | $19.99 |