mkop9586
0x11f5a224840dc039ff9f264a8e42ad1d5614387f
- Realised P&L
- $-73.98
- Volume
- $20.0k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $2.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.585 | $1.46 | +$0.46 |
| Will Lighter dip to $3 before 2027? · Yes | 0.790 | 1.000 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
| Spurs vs. 76ers · 76ers | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Raptors vs. Timberwolves · Raptors | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Cavaliers vs. Nets · Nets | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies · Grizzlies | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Troy Trojans · Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 0.071 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-03-19? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Norfolk State Spartans vs. Morgan State Bears · Norfolk State Spartans | 0.582 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $122K and $124K on August 20? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Magic vs. Cavaliers · Magic | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Bryant Bulldogs vs. New Hampshire Wildcats · Bryant Bulldogs | 0.412 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.46at 0.520Knicks vs. Nuggets
- +$17.38at 0.852Xavier Musketeers vs. Villanova Wildcats
- +$13.26at 0.430Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-13?
- +$7.76at 0.866Ole Miss Rebels vs. Vanderbilt Commodores
- +$5.69at 0.468Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 03:45 | Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 15:29 | Will Lighter dip to $3 before 2027? | BUY | 0.7899995339 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 04:40 | National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia Jeanjean | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 07:24 | KBO: LG Twins vs. Hanwha Eagles | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 06-28 08:58 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999335 | $3.00 |
| 05-14 01:12 | Pistons vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.4399999707 | $3.00 |
| 04-30 10:58 | Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | BUY | 0.3299999591 | $5.00 |
| 04-05 16:35 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07? | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $4.84 |
| 03-15 08:29 | Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-03-19? | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |
| 03-12 00:56 | Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-13? | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 03-07 05:18 | Xavier Musketeers vs. Villanova Wildcats | BUY | 0.8499999996 | $99.55 |
| 03-07 05:17 | Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.979 | $878.72 |
| 03-07 05:00 | Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9799999995 | $879.62 |
| 03-06 05:23 | Knicks vs. Nuggets | BUY | 0.5199999938 | $20.00 |
| 03-06 05:21 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.954 | $899.61 |