PolyBot

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Traders

Siaja777

0x11f27876998c5bb139b7dca70a5c7b4facd70158

Realised P&L
$-10.1k
Volume
$167.0k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$755.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6300.145$161.11$538.89
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1900.038$81.05$318.95
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5040.070$77.77$482.23
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0720.018$76.49$223.51
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4000.065$65.01$334.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.019$65.00$235.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2870.045$62.62$337.38
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0290.015$50.00$50.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.018$50.00$350.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0520.021$39.39$60.61
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0110.002$27.27$172.73
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00$170.49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? · Yes0.2730.000$0.00$489.43
Will Trump talk to Maria Corina Machado in April? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$30.00
Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in April? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-08 12:41Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?BUY0.0449999994$70.49
05-08 12:41Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?BUY0.0101375411$100.00
05-08 12:40Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?BUY0.0359999997$100.00
05-08 12:40Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?BUY0.0444220527$100.00
04-29 10:24Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in April?BUY0.0507787229$30.00
04-29 10:24Will Trump talk to Maria Corina Machado in April?BUY0.0292502268$30.00
04-29 10:23Will Trump talk to Masoud Pezeshkian in April?BUY0.0819515151$50.00
04-29 10:23Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?BUY0.0147575131$50.00
04-29 10:22Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in April?BUY0.0554137149$50.00
04-29 10:21Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?BUY0.1382543989$100.00
04-29 10:21Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?BUY0.08$100.00
04-29 10:21Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?BUY0.0489999995$100.00
04-10 05:15Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?BUY0.0111231038$100.00
04-08 08:10Crude Oil all time high by April 30?BUY0.0804487248$200.00
04-08 08:07Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?BUY0.0778144545$100.00