Siaja777
0x11f27876998c5bb139b7dca70a5c7b4facd70158
- Realised P&L
- $-10.1k
- Volume
- $167.0k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $755.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.17at 0.970Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?
- +$-93.30at 0.019Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
- +$-93.33at 0.015Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
- +$-290.00at 0.030Netanyahu out by March 31?
- +$-494.43at 0.151Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 12:41 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | BUY | 0.0449999994 | $70.49 |
| 05-08 12:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | BUY | 0.0101375411 | $100.00 |
| 05-08 12:40 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? | BUY | 0.0359999997 | $100.00 |
| 05-08 12:40 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | BUY | 0.0444220527 | $100.00 |
| 04-29 10:24 | Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in April? | BUY | 0.0507787229 | $30.00 |
| 04-29 10:24 | Will Trump talk to Maria Corina Machado in April? | BUY | 0.0292502268 | $30.00 |
| 04-29 10:23 | Will Trump talk to Masoud Pezeshkian in April? | BUY | 0.0819515151 | $50.00 |
| 04-29 10:23 | Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April? | BUY | 0.0147575131 | $50.00 |
| 04-29 10:22 | Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in April? | BUY | 0.0554137149 | $50.00 |
| 04-29 10:21 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | BUY | 0.1382543989 | $100.00 |
| 04-29 10:21 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |
| 04-29 10:21 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | BUY | 0.0489999995 | $100.00 |
| 04-10 05:15 | Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0111231038 | $100.00 |
| 04-08 08:10 | Crude Oil all time high by April 30? | BUY | 0.0804487248 | $200.00 |
| 04-08 08:07 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | BUY | 0.0778144545 | $100.00 |