PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

onealpaul

0x11ee24313d3907dc25105d62bd8c6a8087287df9

Realised P&L
$10.61
Volume
$11.4k
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$35.96

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration88.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? · Yes0.6400.645$14.54+$0.11
Will Seoul have less than 75mm of precipitation in September? · Yes0.7600.795$12.96+$0.57
Will Angelica Katsanidou be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County? · Yes0.9150.837$8.46$0.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 06:57Will Angelica Katsanidou be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County?BUY0.914999997$9.25
01-31 13:42Will Lighter dip to $1.00 in January?BUY0.999$4.60
01-30 14:59Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.998$7.03
01-30 14:28Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January?BUY0.999$8.37
01-30 14:27Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY0.999$17.99
01-30 12:44Will Solana reach $150 in January?BUY0.999$34.32
12-30 16:21Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025?BUY0.999$9.72
12-30 11:52Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?BUY0.9989999422$10.39
12-29 21:07Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.992$3.28
12-29 20:48Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?BUY0.9980000013$6.24
12-29 19:52Xi Jinping out in 2025?BUY0.9969999361$14.19
12-29 19:29Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?BUY0.998$24.73
10-31 00:01Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October?BUY0.992999966$16.91
10-30 20:02Will Solana reach $250 in October?BUY0.999$22.54
10-30 18:43Will Oracle be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?BUY0.999$19.96