soap.truck.crop
0x11e6600d4037fca41b5c3904d115e55ae56baad7
- Realised P&L
- $-26.93
- Volume
- $35.8k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $8.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? · Yes | 0.096 | 0.018 | $8.26 | −$35.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$87.50at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C or below on March 29?
- +$4.32at 0.974Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $85-$90 in March?
- +$2.28at 0.9702026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 40% by March 31?
- +$2.28at 0.061Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
- +$2.19at 0.955Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 06:02 | Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Croatia? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 06-23 13:04 | Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Ghana? | BUY | 0.92 | $9.20 |
| 06-04 07:41 | Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%? | BUY | 0.94 | $16.92 |
| 05-31 08:24 | Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5) | BUY | 0.91 | $17.29 |
| 05-24 06:51 | Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.94 | $10.34 |
| 05-15 10:12 | Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 75 and 99 points? | BUY | 0.91 | $10.92 |
| 03-31 04:14 | Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.055 | $0.55 |
| 03-31 04:10 | Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.077 | $6.39 |
| 03-31 04:05 | Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.079 | $1.12 |
| 03-29 16:12 | Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | BUY | 0.037 | $13.99 |
| 03-29 16:01 | Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.061 | $82.35 |
| 03-29 15:56 | Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.094 | $5.64 |
| 03-29 15:50 | Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.096 | $60.10 |
| 03-29 15:43 | 2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 40% by March 31? | SELL | 0.972 | $289.66 |
| 03-29 15:28 | Will Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.03 | $10.92 |