0x11bd73c26083528d77d674e04aee08899a80cda6
0x11bd73c26083528d77d674e04aee08899a80cda6
- Realised P&L
- $3.61
- Volume
- $54.81
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $14.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chengdu Open: Sebastian Baez vs Jenson Brooksby · Sebastian Baez | 0.500 | 0.430 | $7.28 | −$1.19 |
| Hangzhou Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng · Yunchaokete Bu | 0.500 | 0.425 | $4.62 | −$0.82 |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Andre Ilagan · Petr Bar Biryukov | 0.500 | 0.315 | $2.17 | −$1.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.71at 0.218Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 173.5
- +$0.90at 0.500Tolentino: Laura Samson vs Noemi Basiletti
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 03:43 | Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 173.5 | SELL | 0.36 | $7.50 |
| 09-22 03:23 | Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 173.5 | BUY | 0.21 | $4.37 |
| 09-21 20:14 | Tolentino: Laura Samson vs Noemi Basiletti | SELL | 0.58 | $7.63 |