0x11Bbc37145Ea35f3630e2114e1898530fd08866D-1772280778929
0x11bbc37145ea35f3630e2114e1898530fd08866d
- Realised P&L
- $24.04
- Volume
- $16.0k
- Markets traded
- 259
- Open portfolio
- $91.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded259
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.80at 0.110Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 1?
- +$16.40at 0.180Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on March 6?
- +$11.99at 0.400Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 5?
- +$11.15at 0.443Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on March 2?
- +$7.80at 0.898Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $91.91 |
| 09-30 05:54 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 28°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $91.91 |
| 09-29 06:45 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C or higher on September 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $91.91 |
| 09-28 05:13 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $91.91 |
| 09-26 07:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $91.91 |
| 09-25 04:21 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.998 | $91.82 |
| 09-24 04:43 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.9987826087 | $91.89 |
| 09-23 04:24 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.998 | $91.82 |
| 09-22 06:33 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 32°C or higher on September 22? | BUY | 0.997 | $90.73 |
| 09-21 04:37 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.998 | $90.82 |
| 09-20 05:07 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9966875 | $15.95 |
| 09-20 05:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9989201809 | $75.09 |
| 09-19 04:57 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on September 19? | BUY | 0.998 | $90.82 |
| 09-18 06:42 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9986666667 | $17.98 |
| 09-18 06:41 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.998850919 | $29.35 |