0x11bb91b6f4df50d19af2e6f4c5497819ecc2e813
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $33.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 2? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.625 | $8.00 | +$2.24 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 3? · No | 0.680 | 0.575 | $6.66 | −$1.22 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 2? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.725 | $4.72 | +$0.68 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 2? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.435 | $4.35 | +$0.65 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 3? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.500 | $4.10 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 2? · No | 0.530 | 0.465 | $3.11 | −$0.43 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 2? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.425 | $2.67 | +$0.03 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on November 1? · Yes | 0.403 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.77 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on November 1? · No | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.68at 0.880Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on November 1?
- +$0.07at 0.532Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on November 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.10 |
| 11-01 16:00 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.55 | $7.62 |
| 11-01 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.6799999586 | $7.88 |
| 11-01 07:54 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.35 |
| 11-01 07:20 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.5199999856 | $7.21 |
| 10-31 19:00 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.6699999933 | $8.05 |
| 10-31 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.45 | $5.76 |
| 10-31 15:30 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.52 | $3.51 |
| 10-31 14:35 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 10-31 12:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.4199999523 | $2.64 |
| 10-31 11:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.5299999431 | $3.54 |
| 10-31 11:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.6199999448 | $4.04 |
| 10-31 11:00 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.99 |
| 10-31 10:00 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.3399999873 | $4.27 |