Eliwra
0x11b8b9ed12cff186fb75d6c2091cd0276090439e
- Realised P&L
- $48.46
- Volume
- $381.1k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $52.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$123.75at 0.640Will Scotland win on 2025-09-08?
- +$103.03at 0.660Will Faroe Islands win on 2025-09-08?
- +$76.15at 0.997Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?
- +$69.70at 0.002Will Mark Kelly be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
- +$21.27at 0.999Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 12:17 | Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9889998594 | $5.07 |
| 08-22 15:55 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | BUY | 0.9779999984 | $8.73 |
| 07-12 12:24 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.9199999933 | $5.53 |
| 07-12 12:24 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9639999977 | $5.07 |
| 06-29 09:55 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.975 | $5.31 |
| 06-29 09:53 | Ayase Ueda: 5+ shots | BUY | 0.99 | $8.64 |
| 06-01 19:48 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison? | BUY | 0.9579999911 | $4.32 |
| 06-01 19:47 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9149999865 | $5.44 |
| 04-28 20:30 | Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $77.52 |
| 04-28 20:18 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.989 | $91.27 |
| 04-24 07:17 | Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9419999956 | $6.01 |
| 03-17 16:25 | Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.996 | $7.84 |
| 03-17 16:24 | Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.989 | $7.74 |
| 03-17 12:07 | Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.1k |
| 12-01 15:30 | Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-06? | BUY | 0.5599999993 | $34.00 |