PolyBot

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Traders

Eliwra

0x11b8b9ed12cff186fb75d6c2091cd0276090439e

Realised P&L
$48.46
Volume
$381.1k
Markets traded
115
Open portfolio
$52.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded115
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9860.999$9.12+$0.11
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? · No0.9780.970$8.65$0.08
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9890.999$7.81+$0.07
Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9420.976$6.23+$0.22
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9200.935$5.62+$0.09
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.9640.990$5.20+$0.13
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9750.949$5.17$0.14
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9890.995$5.10+$0.03
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2160.000$0.00$9.06
Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03? · No0.7900.000$0.00$25.00
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-06? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00$34.00
Will XRP dip to $1.50 in October? · No0.9960.000$0.00$300.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-30 12:17Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.9889998594$5.07
08-22 15:55Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?BUY0.9779999984$8.73
07-12 12:24Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.9199999933$5.53
07-12 12:24Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.9639999977$5.07
06-29 09:55Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.975$5.31
06-29 09:53Ayase Ueda: 5+ shotsBUY0.99$8.64
06-01 19:48Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?BUY0.9579999911$4.32
06-01 19:47Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9149999865$5.44
04-28 20:30Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.992$77.52
04-28 20:18Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.989$91.27
04-24 07:17Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?BUY0.9419999956$6.01
03-17 16:25Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.996$7.84
03-17 16:24Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.989$7.74
03-17 12:07Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?BUY0.998$1.1k
12-01 15:30Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-06?BUY0.5599999993$34.00