Ybx888888
0x11b4d8b8bbbe7160649f05ae38252b3c2934c7fc
- Realised P&L
- $40.55
- Volume
- $614.21
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration35.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.28at 0.785Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28?
- +$20.82at 0.719Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20?
- +$7.44at 0.827Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 17?
- +$4.00at 0.900Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 23?
- +$2.95at 0.947Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:04 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.71 | $19.82 |
| 09-28 04:45 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.8316831354 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 04:34 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.79 | $23.85 |
| 09-28 04:12 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.78 | $16.62 |
| 09-21 04:58 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.97 | $4.55 |
| 09-21 04:33 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.8 | $3.75 |
| 09-20 04:41 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.8 | $7.50 |
| 09-20 04:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.7362450874 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 04:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.729999986 | $12.50 |
| 09-20 04:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.72 | $5.14 |
| 09-20 04:28 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.7 | $7.46 |
| 09-20 04:27 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.6673501333 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 05:44 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.950495042 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 05:43 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.94 | $7.52 |
| 09-19 05:43 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.94 | $18.92 |