PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x11B471c0786bbD839880c6636e6C917D9BeEfd3b-1763523163796

0x11b471c0786bbd839880c6636e6c917d9beefd3b

Realised P&L
$-74.80
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$13.87

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0360.029$8.93$2.07
Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026? · Yes0.3580.045$2.51$17.49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1900.038$2.43$9.57
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$5.00
Trump out as President by March 31? · Yes0.0770.000$0.00$5.00
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? · Yes0.1110.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-01 18:48Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.0363456755$11.00
05-07 23:09Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?BUY0.3581526763$20.00
03-20 16:05Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY0.1108789945$5.00
03-19 03:45Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1899999894$12.00
01-29 17:08Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors?BUY0.1966745052$10.00
01-08 04:49Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.6099999756$5.00
01-07 02:32Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?BUY0.2489999661$5.00
01-07 02:32Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?BUY0.4599999595$5.00
12-30 03:21Rams vs. FalconsBUY0.37$1.85
12-22 22:0749ers vs. ColtsBUY0.6799999728$5.00
12-11 02:10Spurs vs. LakersBUY0.7199999654$5.00
12-11 02:09Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.2$5.00
11-22 23:20Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.016$5.00
11-19 05:08Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?BUY0.1390000039$5.00
11-19 04:52Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in November?BUY0.2179999737$5.00