5655655
0x11a4230eba09342c7e5c4f167822f7b3e919e679
- Realised P&L
- $-308.01
- Volume
- $14.9k
- Markets traded
- 688
- Open portfolio
- $245.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded688
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.40at 0.465Will it rain in Washington, DC on September 3?
- +$19.80at 0.010Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 23?
- +$19.80at 0.010Will the lowest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 23?
- +$16.55at 0.551Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 3?
- +$8.28at 0.488Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 12:46 | Will "Beauty in Black: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.205 | $4.10 |
| 09-03 11:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 3? | SELL | 0.6 | $2.94 |
| 09-03 02:43 | Will it rain in Seattle, WA on September 3? | BUY | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 09-02 21:03 | Will Lacy and Marlon have fewer than 100 Fortnite deaths during the marathon? | BUY | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 09-01 20:45 | Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on September 1? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 09-01 20:44 | Will it rain in Denver, CO on September 1? | SELL | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 08-24 07:57 | Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | SELL | 0.5 | $0.51 |
| 08-20 06:14 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $1.44 |
| 08-20 06:11 | Will Sunday be the most viewed day of ABC World News Tonight for the week of August 10 - August 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |