quillmarble62
0x11a2bdc905a117cd505c2c058a60724283cd4657
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $31.12
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $26.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AlloX FDV be above $65M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.525 | $10.50 | −$0.50 |
| Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No | 0.480 | 0.335 | $10.05 | −$4.35 |
| Will AlloX FDV be above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.320 | $6.40 | −$0.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.60at 0.6761win FDV above $70M one day after launch?
- +$2.00at 0.8301win FDV above $45M one day after launch?
- +$1.43at 0.8401win FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$1.19at 0.8931win FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 22:27 | 1win FDV above $45M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.82 | $9.65 |
| 10-28 00:02 | 1win FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.83 | $7.40 |
| 10-28 00:02 | 1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.66 | $7.32 |