ruestifam
0x11a1df196f11ded710f5df3c484903ddfee699ed
- Realised P&L
- $-199.72
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $41.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCOTUS invalidates AR-15 bans? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.715 | $15.02 | −$1.78 |
| Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government? · Yes | 0.711 | 0.248 | $7.92 | −$14.74 |
| Will Jessica Tisch be out as New York City Police Commissioner by December 31? · No | 0.720 | 0.490 | $5.92 | −$2.78 |
| Manchester City punishment announced by November 20? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.260 | $5.21 | −$6.02 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 35%-40%? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.215 | $4.35 | −$1.52 |
| Will Jayden Reed have 649.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.190 | $1.60 | −$0.68 |
| Will Peggy Flanagan underperform Kamala in Minnesota? · No | 0.630 | 0.455 | $1.50 | −$0.58 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 25%-30%? · Yes | 0.192 | 0.253 | $0.30 | +$0.07 |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week? · Yes | 0.126 | 0.003 | $0.15 | −$7.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.46at 0.548Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
- +$7.97at 0.802Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
- +$5.20at 0.735Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
- +$4.84at 0.897Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
- +$4.26at 0.783Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 01:25 | Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2027? (copy) | SELL | 0.23 | $4.83 |
| 09-29 01:24 | Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026? | SELL | 0.383 | $8.04 |
| 09-29 01:18 | Will the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | SELL | 0.5368958333 | $12.89 |
| 09-29 01:17 | Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access? | SELL | 0.59 | $31.27 |
| 09-28 05:47 | OpenAI resumes training by October 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.54501 | $5.45 |
| 09-27 22:02 | Manchester City punishment announced by November 20? | SELL | 0.57 | $0.53 |
| 04-28 05:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $8.00 |
| 04-28 04:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $0.48 |
| 04-28 00:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | BUY | 0.9299999989 | $8.52 |
| 04-27 23:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $9.69 |
| 04-27 23:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | BUY | 0.0962757113 | $7.20 |
| 04-27 21:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $9.48 |
| 04-27 21:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $9.69 |
| 04-27 20:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.969999999 | $9.28 |
| 04-27 19:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.84 | $5.24 |