0x4740c22FA7Af37184705b12850DD2b86179c6f0f-1766608972333
0x119ec3b913fcbc2e839a036b5e28568625eb0d32
- Realised P&L
- $-292.50
- Volume
- $7.8k
- Markets traded
- 277
- Open portfolio
- $10.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded277
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.85at 0.215Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
- +$6.48at 0.352Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
- +$4.26at 0.148Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
- +$4.16at 0.584Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
- +$4.15at 0.169Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 21:06 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1? | BUY | 0.5459999766 | $8.90 |
| 10-11 21:06 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.2741754079 | $9.41 |
| 10-11 17:34 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1? | BUY | 0.519999986 | $17.85 |
| 10-11 11:10 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22.5 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.8922647059 | $18.20 |
| 10-11 11:10 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22.5 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.931222184 | $19.00 |
| 10-09 21:34 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 215 and 223 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.67 | $19.63 |
| 10-09 18:13 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 215 and 223 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.8099999979 | $7.54 |
| 10-07 14:05 | Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8? | SELL | 0.28 | $18.98 |
| 10-07 13:50 | Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15? | SELL | 0.22 | $19.80 |
| 10-07 11:36 | Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 90 and 119 Minecraft deaths during the marathon? | SELL | 0.0935 | $18.70 |
| 10-07 11:13 | Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9? | SELL | 0.418 | $41.80 |
| 10-07 01:14 | Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 11? | SELL | 0.22 | $7.52 |
| 10-07 01:03 | Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9? | SELL | 0.42 | $42.00 |
| 10-07 00:24 | Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9? | SELL | 0.4386496012 | $47.30 |
| 10-06 21:05 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) | SELL | 0.19 | $34.20 |