PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hellyess

0x119c146aa99b85d9aaddf2340903e8c72a115d94

Realised P&L
$14.40
Volume
$8.2k
Markets traded
165
Open portfolio
$33.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded165
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on October 8? · Yes0.9600.997$33.39+$1.22
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 8? · Yes0.2640.001$0.04−$19.82
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 8? · Yes0.7400.001$0.00−$2.15
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 18? · No0.5820.000$0.00−$2.91
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1? · No0.7770.000$0.00−$1.55
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 25? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$6.77
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 27? · Yes0.4980.000$0.00−$13.13
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 24? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$2.10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 17? · No0.3700.000$0.00−$1.85
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 23? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00−$3.72
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 20? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$0.63
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 24? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$1.80
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? · Yes0.2780.000$0.00−$0.38
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on September 30? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$1.80
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on September 21? · Yes0.6620.000$0.00−$13.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 08:26Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.46$2.30
10-08 08:26Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.58$2.90
10-08 08:26Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.65$3.25
10-08 08:24Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.44$2.20
10-08 08:24Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.49$2.45
10-08 08:24Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.49$8.62
10-08 08:24Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.48$12.00
10-08 08:23Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.76$3.80
10-08 08:18Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.29$1.45
10-08 08:13Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETBUY0.01$0.05
10-08 08:13Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETBUY0.01$0.16
10-08 08:13Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETBUY0.01$0.05
10-08 08:13Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETBUY0.01$0.05
10-08 08:13Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETBUY0.01$0.05
10-08 08:13Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETBUY0.01$0.05