nickxm
0x119509d7db59cc9ad62970b828eb0e3af98eb128
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $114.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,912
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,912
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.17at 0.885Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 25?
- +$16.64at 0.970Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C or higher on August 11?
- +$14.55at 0.945Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 28?
- +$12.56at 0.989Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 6?
- +$11.01at 0.984Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 13:34 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C or below on September 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 13:32 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.9987503121 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 13:25 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on September 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 13:23 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C or higher on September 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 13:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C or higher on September 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 13:16 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on September 28? | BUY | 0.9989999976 | $290.00 |
| 09-28 13:16 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on September 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $300.00 |
| 09-28 13:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.99 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 05:22 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.9965124049 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 05:22 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.9989999939 | $140.00 |
| 09-28 05:18 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 63°F or below on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $430.00 |
| 09-28 05:16 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 05:15 | Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.976357009 | $30.00 |
| 09-28 05:11 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.996323297 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 05:07 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.9989999511 | $20.00 |