PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nickxm

0x119509d7db59cc9ad62970b828eb0e3af98eb128

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$114.3k
Markets traded
1,912
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,912
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 63°F or below on September 28? · No0.9990.998$429.57−$0.43
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on September 28? · No0.9981.000$300.45+$0.45
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on September 28? · No0.9990.999$290.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on September 28? · No0.9990.999$139.93−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 28? · No0.9991.000$100.05+$0.06
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C or higher on September 29? · No0.9991.000$100.05+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 28? · No0.9991.000$100.05+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 28? · No0.9970.997$100.05+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C or higher on September 29? · No0.9990.998$99.85−$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on September 28? · No0.9990.994$99.50−$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 28? · No0.9960.987$99.01−$0.99
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or below on September 28? · No0.9991.000$39.99+$0.02
Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on September 28? · No0.9800.540$22.05−$17.95
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or higher on September 28? · No0.9981.000$20.03+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 28? · No0.9991.000$20.01+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 13:34Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C or below on September 29?BUY0.999$10.00
09-28 13:32Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 29?BUY0.9987503121$20.00
09-28 13:25Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on September 29?BUY0.999$20.00
09-28 13:23Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C or higher on September 29?BUY0.999$100.00
09-28 13:22Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C or higher on September 29?BUY0.999$100.00
09-28 13:16Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on September 28?BUY0.9989999976$290.00
09-28 13:16Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on September 28?BUY0.998$300.00
09-28 13:06Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on September 28?BUY0.99$10.00
09-28 05:22Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 28?BUY0.9965124049$100.00
09-28 05:22Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on September 28?BUY0.9989999939$140.00
09-28 05:18Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 63°F or below on September 28?BUY0.999$430.00
09-28 05:16Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on September 28?BUY0.999$100.00
09-28 05:15Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on September 28?BUY0.976357009$30.00
09-28 05:11Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 28?BUY0.996323297$100.00
09-28 05:07Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 28?BUY0.9989999511$20.00