Loinluck
0x118372ce3aa0b960e43ee4e563dc18ef9e7fb705
- Realised P&L
- $-23.36
- Volume
- $289.83
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $9.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 57.5 · Over | 0.120 | 0.135 | $5.00 | +$0.56 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? · No | 0.170 | 0.158 | $4.25 | −$0.32 |
| LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs · Cloud9 | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.14 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET · Down | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner · Natus Vincere | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.71 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.25at 0.480Spread: Bills (-7.5)
- +$0.00at 0.640US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$-2.90at 0.582Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs
- +$-8.66at 0.080Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 16:16 | Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 57.5 | BUY | 0.12 | $4.44 |
| 09-28 06:08 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $4.57 |
| 09-28 05:25 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $4.88 |
| 09-27 20:32 | LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs | BUY | 0.24 | $4.14 |
| 09-27 14:42 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.36 | $2.71 |
| 09-27 14:36 | Spread: Bills (-7.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $4.85 |
| 03-23 12:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $4.98 |
| 03-18 22:49 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A | BUY | 0.08 | $4.21 |
| 03-18 22:18 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A | BUY | 0.08 | $4.44 |
| 03-18 22:12 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | SELL | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 03-18 22:05 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 03-18 22:03 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 03-18 21:50 | Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs | BUY | 0.58 | $2.88 |