0x1180f91b93aca85f35a12cefecd805b9ca132a25
0x1180f91b93aca85f35a12cefecd805b9ca132a25
- Realised P&L
- $11.49
- Volume
- $95.04
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $9.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurkacz vs. Fokina: Match O/U 22.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.595 | $9.75 | +$1.56 |
| Set Handicap: Daniil Medvedev (-1.5) vs Coleman Wong (+1.5) · Daniil Medvedev | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.45at 0.500UMass vs. Sacramento State
- +$6.32at 0.520Spread: Eagles (-3.5)
- +$4.16at 0.530Spread: Rams (-2.5)
- +$2.59at 0.740Minnesota vs. Washington
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 03:18 | Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $13.18 |
| 09-28 19:45 | Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5199999879 | $6.86 |
| 09-28 03:52 | Spread: Rams (-2.5) | SELL | 0.98 | $9.06 |
| 09-27 14:21 | Spread: Rams (-2.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $4.90 |
| 09-27 06:37 | Set Handicap: Daniil Medvedev (-1.5) vs Coleman Wong (+1.5) | BUY | 0.5799999738 | $8.84 |
| 09-27 06:36 | Minnesota vs. Washington | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-27 04:20 | UMass vs. Sacramento State | SELL | 0.999 | $14.91 |