0x117fda4b63ba1c26bf626d74afc16a2821aa550f
0x117fda4b63ba1c26bf626d74afc16a2821aa550f
- Realised P&L
- $0.98
- Volume
- $158.07
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $3.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.790 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2? · Up | 0.760 | 0.765 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.465 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.31at 0.308Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.20at 0.319S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?
- +$2.00at 0.339Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$2.00at 0.339Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of October 5 2026?
- +$1.91at 0.349Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 14 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 02:43 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 18:18 | Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 02:36 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 08:45 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 00:45 | Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 00:29 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 16:15 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 20:04 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 12:03 | Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 01:03 | Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 16:11 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 12:40 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 09:05 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 14? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 01:03 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 16:02 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 13? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |