0x117f66843514e3f9989430839c8837d97731b64e
- Realised P&L
- $-2.11
- Volume
- $52.03
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $3.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $191 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.380 | 0.905 | $2.38 | +$1.38 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.295 | $0.78 | −$0.22 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $122.50 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.095 | $0.41 | −$0.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.68at 0.379Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$1.17at 0.460US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
- +$0.90at 0.530Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$0.80at 0.560Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$0.57at 0.639Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $171 Week of August 24 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 12:03 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 15? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 03:37 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 06:44 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $122.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 22:31 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 22:00 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $191 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 09:13 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 00:47 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 23:48 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 10:43 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 17:43 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 09:04 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5889994705 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 23:07 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 14:42 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 27? | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 06:41 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of August 24 2026? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 08-26 22:40 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in August? | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |