PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Flexouille

0x117bf6b29bbc30f9e68aaea6727d5a05e7c29c17

Realised P&L
$20.46
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$110.20

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration64.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration89.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes0.5800.820$99.09+$29.00
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · No0.2490.061$4.89−$15.11
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.2060.044$3.21−$11.79
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.0650.024$3.01−$5.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-31 11:22Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.5799999993$70.09
01-18 21:14Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?SELL0.002$0.09
01-13 13:16Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.0648539318$8.13
01-13 13:16Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.2058823445$15.00
01-13 13:16Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.2967735728$23.13
01-10 10:51Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?BUY0.4699999933$20.42
01-10 10:50Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?SELL0.2373221757$20.42
01-08 13:09Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.2199999913$17.15
01-08 13:08Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?SELL0.06$17.14
01-06 13:29Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?BUY0.2782294327$11.00
01-05 13:02Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?BUY0.2251216011$10.00
01-05 13:00Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?BUY0.3$21.00
01-05 12:59Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?SELL0.76$2.90
01-03 17:31Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?BUY0.55$2.10
01-03 17:28Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?BUY0.2799999854$10.00