Flexouille
0x117bf6b29bbc30f9e68aaea6727d5a05e7c29c17
- Realised P&L
- $20.46
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $110.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.820 | $99.09 | +$29.00 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · No | 0.249 | 0.061 | $4.89 | −$15.11 |
| Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.206 | 0.044 | $3.21 | −$11.79 |
| Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.024 | $3.01 | −$5.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.00at 0.300Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$17.71at 0.350Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
- +$5.98at 0.220Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
- +$2.65at 0.790Will Donald Trump say "oil" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
- +$0.80at 0.550Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-31 11:22 | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5799999993 | $70.09 |
| 01-18 21:14 | Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.09 |
| 01-13 13:16 | Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0648539318 | $8.13 |
| 01-13 13:16 | Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2058823445 | $15.00 |
| 01-13 13:16 | Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.2967735728 | $23.13 |
| 01-10 10:51 | Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | BUY | 0.4699999933 | $20.42 |
| 01-10 10:50 | Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | SELL | 0.2373221757 | $20.42 |
| 01-08 13:09 | Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2199999913 | $17.15 |
| 01-08 13:08 | Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | SELL | 0.06 | $17.14 |
| 01-06 13:29 | Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | BUY | 0.2782294327 | $11.00 |
| 01-05 13:02 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.2251216011 | $10.00 |
| 01-05 13:00 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.3 | $21.00 |
| 01-05 12:59 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? | SELL | 0.76 | $2.90 |
| 01-03 17:31 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.10 |
| 01-03 17:28 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |