0x115d1ce1893c360f4612b0fcc850d777c0f10a01
- Realised P&L
- $-79.62
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $11.84
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.066 | $11.84 | −$3.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$208.79at 0.165Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$25.37at 0.080US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
- +$14.01at 0.230Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?
- +$-10.05at 0.170Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?
- +$-10.05at 0.080Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-13 19:12 | Will Alibaba (BABA) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.3774163154 | $37.98 |
| 07-27 03:27 | Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Alex Hernandez vs Alan Magadan | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 07-26 03:01 | Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2199999593 | $4.00 |
| 07-25 15:30 | Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday? | BUY | 0.1687830602 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 15:24 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 15:21 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.1487973333 | $55.80 |
| 07-22 12:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1563424695 | $146.20 |
| 07-20 05:05 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.08 | $30.00 |
| 07-20 05:03 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.0169033588 | $50.47 |
| 07-20 04:58 | Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? | BUY | 0.0862517515 | $15.47 |
| 06-03 22:56 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0959999961 | $21.32 |
| 06-03 22:56 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.16 | $40.00 |
| 06-03 22:56 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1709999969 | $40.00 |