Shadowmarket121
0x11570a451726827346e8fb9cb03800b0c5c8c118
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $125.8k
- Markets traded
- 755
- Open portfolio
- $28.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded755
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$474.95at 0.120Will the Republican Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%?
- +$415.00at 0.160Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?
- +$347.19at 0.166Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?
- +$340.40at 0.210Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat?
- +$274.50at 0.134Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:39 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat? | SELL | 0.73 | $140.89 |
| 11-01 19:00 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.7874933333 | $590.62 |
| 11-01 11:50 | Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat? | SELL | 0.85 | $46.32 |
| 11-01 11:50 | Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat? | SELL | 0.85 | $42.50 |
| 11-01 07:52 | Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.63 | $472.50 |
| 11-01 05:59 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.17392 | $130.44 |
| 10-31 22:17 | Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat? | SELL | 0.15 | $31.54 |
| 10-31 21:16 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat? | SELL | 0.6 | $450.00 |
| 10-31 20:43 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%? | BUY | 0.8970378936 | $448.20 |
| 10-31 19:41 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 12%-15%? | BUY | 0.2584002456 | $129.22 |
| 10-31 16:39 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%? | BUY | 0.9036685219 | $677.95 |
| 10-31 15:53 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 30% or more? | SELL | 0.3487322786 | $33.95 |
| 10-31 15:02 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 30% or more? | BUY | 0.4342125833 | $187.44 |
| 10-31 12:57 | Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $75.48 |
| 10-31 10:03 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-13 House seat? | SELL | 0.6131198979 | $158.47 |