04s
0x1154e9b3064a5fa77f805652dafd3c2d83413429
- Realised P&L
- $-29.31
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $2.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.69at 0.097Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $13B and $16B at market close on IPO day?
- +$6.43at 0.196Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
- +$5.36at 0.088Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?
- +$2.85at 0.630Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy
- +$2.62at 0.356Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 05:59 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4499998284 | $1.18 |
| 08-06 05:57 | Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? | BUY | 0.6999999222 | $1.80 |
| 08-06 04:35 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m? | SELL | 0.09664 | $1.21 |
| 08-06 04:35 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 210m? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.09 |
| 08-06 04:35 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.55 |
| 08-05 08:12 | Will Attovia Therapeutics' market cap be between $700M and $800M at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.32 |
| 08-05 08:11 | Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? | SELL | 0.64 | $2.59 |
| 08-05 08:01 | Will Attovia Therapeutics' market cap be between $700M and $800M at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.32 |
| 08-05 07:42 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 07:39 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 210m? | BUY | 0.0689999387 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 07:39 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m? | BUY | 0.0720720721 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 14:48 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.48 | $1.48 |
| 08-04 14:46 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 14:19 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 14:04 | Will "DTF St. Louis" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.02 |