04s
0x1154e9b3064a5fa77f805652dafd3c2d83413429
- Realised P&L
- $-46.45
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $6.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.62at 0.101Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $13B and $16B at market close on IPO day?
- +$6.39at 0.201Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
- +$5.17at 0.092Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?
- +$2.80at 0.637Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy
- +$2.55at 0.363Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 10:17 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 34m? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 10-02 09:49 | Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 33m? | BUY | 0.163009388 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 07:07 | Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m? | BUY | 0.4099999739 | $1.10 |
| 10-02 06:49 | China Open: Clara Tauson vs Polina Kudermetova | SELL | 0.63 | $1.29 |
| 10-02 06:48 | China Open: Taylah Preston vs Diane Parry | SELL | 0.14 | $0.47 |
| 10-02 06:32 | China Open: Taylah Preston vs Diane Parry | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:25 | China Open: Clara Tauson vs Polina Kudermetova | BUY | 0.64 | $1.31 |
| 10-02 06:11 | China Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich | SELL | 0.6 | $1.24 |
| 10-02 05:58 | China Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich | BUY | 0.5899998888 | $1.22 |
| 10-02 05:29 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SELL | 0.847 | $1.69 |
| 10-02 05:24 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BUY | 0.5269999649 | $1.05 |
| 09-22 09:50 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.35 |
| 09-20 15:05 | Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m? | SELL | 0.23 | $0.50 |
| 09-20 14:50 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m? | SELL | 0.288 | $0.90 |
| 09-20 06:10 | Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |