PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

04s

0x1154e9b3064a5fa77f805652dafd3c2d83413429

Realised P&L
$-46.45
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
111
Open portfolio
$6.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded111
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 34m? · Yes0.1500.275$5.50+$2.50
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 33m? · Yes0.1630.180$1.10+$0.10
Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m? · Yes0.4100.140$0.38−$0.72
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$1.35
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17m? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$1.00
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 51 million views on day 4? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$1.00
Will two people dissent the September Fed decision? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$1.00
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova · Victoria Mboko0.6300.000$0.00−$6.00
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $3.75B and $4.25B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$2.80
Will Attovia Therapeutics' market cap be between $700M and $800M at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$2.64
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$1.00
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel · Nikola Bartunkova0.3100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 41m? · Yes0.0710.000$0.00−$1.14
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 10:17Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 34m?BUY0.15$3.00
10-02 09:49Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 33m?BUY0.163009388$1.00
10-02 07:07Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m?BUY0.4099999739$1.10
10-02 06:49China Open: Clara Tauson vs Polina KudermetovaSELL0.63$1.29
10-02 06:48China Open: Taylah Preston vs Diane ParrySELL0.14$0.47
10-02 06:32China Open: Taylah Preston vs Diane ParryBUY0.29999994$1.00
10-02 06:25China Open: Clara Tauson vs Polina KudermetovaBUY0.64$1.31
10-02 06:11China Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Aliaksandra SasnovichSELL0.6$1.24
10-02 05:58China Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Aliaksandra SasnovichBUY0.5899998888$1.22
10-02 05:29Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos TsitsipasSELL0.847$1.69
10-02 05:24Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos TsitsipasBUY0.5269999649$1.05
09-22 09:50Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?BUY0.54$1.35
09-20 15:05Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?SELL0.23$0.50
09-20 14:50Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?SELL0.288$0.90
09-20 06:10Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?BUY0.4599997976$1.00