PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1154d2432183018a29b3832809a4baed4c89606f

Realised P&L
$-57.61
Volume
$52.0k
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$0.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 16? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $10 in July? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 23? · No0.0010.000$0.00$2.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $48,000 on July 7? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,100 on July 5? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 22? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET · Up0.1000.000$0.00$1.00
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 20? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$7.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET · Down0.5900.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 12? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 13:42Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 16?BUY0.001$1.00
08-25 05:45Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
08-18 03:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 18?BUY0.003$1.00
08-09 05:17Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 9?BUY0.001$1.00
08-02 14:20Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETBUY0.5099998317$1.00
08-02 14:20Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETBUY0.5$1.00
08-01 10:34Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETBUY0.5099998317$1.00
08-01 10:34Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETBUY0.5$1.00
07-31 10:18Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETBUY0.5$1.00
07-31 10:18Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETBUY0.5099998317$1.00
07-31 06:52Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETBUY0.5099998317$1.00
07-31 06:52Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETBUY0.5$1.00
07-30 11:30Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.5$1.00
07-30 11:29Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.5$1.00
07-29 11:00Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETBUY0.54$1.00