0x1154d2432183018a29b3832809a4baed4c89606f
- Realised P&L
- $-57.61
- Volume
- $52.0k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $0.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.04at 0.502Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
- +$1.00at 0.512Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 13:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 05:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 03:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 18? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 05:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 9? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 14:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 14:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 10:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 10:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 10:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 10:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 06:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 06:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 11:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 11:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 11:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |