PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lajiaoo

0x114afd41d96b2b3b239c88f7789e426c256c9a8e

Realised P&L
$221.40
Volume
$161.1k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$101.28

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration83.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? · Yes0.2830.282$76.28$0.14
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · No0.7701.000$25.00+$5.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-18 06:54Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?BUY0.283$25.47
03-16 06:58Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?BUY0.277$1.94
12-30 06:40Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.203$2.84
12-30 05:55Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.207$621.00
12-29 07:12Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?BUY0.724$2.5k
10-16 07:46LSU vs. VanderbiltBUY0.5399999959$16.00
03-20 09:08Kings vs. BlackhawksBUY0.3$9.00
01-21 04:09Senators vs. RangersBUY0.4723810179$90.00
01-21 03:57Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?SELL0.994$102.46
01-21 03:56Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?BUY0.995$102.57
01-21 03:56Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?SELL0.998$102.56
01-21 03:55Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?BUY0.999$102.67
12-18 02:26Ethereum above $3,900 on December 20?BUY0.5$49.01
12-18 02:00Is Luigi Mangione YouTube channel real?SELL0.989$53.66
12-18 01:59Is Luigi Mangione YouTube channel real?BUY0.993$53.89