PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

1aqbn5rii5n2

0x113f258c6231528ed81c33c11ccf553147be0a20

Realised P&L
$-14.48
Volume
$522.73
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$33.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8200.850$20.73+$0.73
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8130.945$10.46+$1.46
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat? · Yes0.9240.943$2.04+$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 02:38Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.99$0.64
10-17 02:32Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.991$1.63
10-15 17:24Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.995$0.50
10-15 01:12Will the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat?BUY0.9239996433$2.00
10-14 03:21Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.994$2.07
09-09 19:52Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4799999846$10.00
08-25 02:23Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.998$0.03
08-24 16:52Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.998$0.11
08-21 22:59Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?BUY0.8199999902$10.00
08-21 22:56Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?BUY0.8199999902$10.00
08-20 07:18Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.998$0.01
08-18 22:59Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.998$0.01
08-17 15:58Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.998$0.04
08-16 11:11Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.998$0.05
08-15 23:20Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.998$0.02