1aqbn5rii5n2
0x113f258c6231528ed81c33c11ccf553147be0a20
- Realised P&L
- $-14.48
- Volume
- $522.73
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $33.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.850 | $20.73 | +$0.73 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.813 | 0.945 | $10.46 | +$1.46 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.924 | 0.943 | $2.04 | +$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.59at 0.388Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
- +$10.14at 0.441Solana Up or Down - March 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
- +$8.50at 0.77076ers vs. Knicks
- +$7.96at 0.430XRP Up or Down - March 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
- +$6.27at 0.248Timberwolves vs. Spurs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 02:38 | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $0.64 |
| 10-17 02:32 | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.991 | $1.63 |
| 10-15 17:24 | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $0.50 |
| 10-15 01:12 | Will the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.9239996433 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 03:21 | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $2.07 |
| 09-09 19:52 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $10.00 |
| 08-25 02:23 | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $0.03 |
| 08-24 16:52 | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $0.11 |
| 08-21 22:59 | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999902 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 22:56 | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999902 | $10.00 |
| 08-20 07:18 | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $0.01 |
| 08-18 22:59 | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $0.01 |
| 08-17 15:58 | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $0.04 |
| 08-16 11:11 | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $0.05 |
| 08-15 23:20 | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $0.02 |