PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

discretradoor

0x113adeabb0b5ccc51acc909e95758bbeaec189c0

Realised P&L
$-11.4k
Volume
$1.06M
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$81.17

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.2830.045$81.17$428.88
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$340.00
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · No0.0440.000$0.00$299.84
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0820.000$0.00$7.5k
Will Trump resign today? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$182.23
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$499.72
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-26 09:29Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0829999999$1.0k
06-16 13:08Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.108$2.8k
06-15 07:12Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1079999999$596.04
05-09 12:35Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0749999999$1.2k
03-14 13:07Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?SELL0.0805769624$209.70
03-14 13:05Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?BUY0.1148921359$299.00
01-29 09:10Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?BUY0.0129999999$199.90
01-19 12:58Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?BUY0.0444048934$299.85
01-19 12:57Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?BUY0.0417090057$299.84
01-14 08:54Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.2827767927$510.05
01-11 16:20Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?SELL0.2079971454$510.05
12-07 14:22Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?BUY0.6031477902$1.5k
09-17 09:51Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?BUY0.001$20.00
09-16 18:08No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?BUY0.017$340.00
09-04 07:32Trump out as President in 2025?SELL0.05$525.00