yonose
0x112e9bf2f008dae57e1e6ad44ba73292e20ca3f6
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $171.4k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $7.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes | 0.991 | 0.997 | $5.0k | +$27.50 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.955 | $2.1k | +$77.00 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.755 | $599.21 | +$99.21 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.981 | 0.990 | $197.90 | +$1.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$385.31at 0.910Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- +$237.45at 0.985US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$95.04at 0.995Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$93.00at 0.984Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$90.03at 0.997US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 08:18 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $450.00 |
| 10-25 08:15 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999997 | $500.00 |
| 10-25 08:12 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.92 | $2.0k |
| 10-21 09:59 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $3.0k |
| 09-27 16:55 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $34.31 |
| 07-18 06:12 | Will there be 25+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9986799103 | $1.6k |
| 07-18 06:02 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.9 | $770.60 |
| 07-18 06:02 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.9 | $551.48 |
| 06-26 09:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | BUY | 0.8449999997 | $396.61 |
| 06-21 09:04 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.5k |
| 06-21 09:04 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $9.3k |
| 06-15 11:35 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.0k |
| 06-14 09:12 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.995 | $19.9k |