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0x1129f1c49ec31d138c8c95935a65d6d465d0254f
- Realised P&L
- $102.95
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 121
- Open portfolio
- $2.98
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded121
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.80at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 27?
- +$13.00at 0.350Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 26?
- +$11.85at 0.210Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20?
- +$10.67at 0.090Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 6?
- +$10.50at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 05:56 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.991 | $11.87 |
| 10-05 17:08 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.16 | $0.80 |
| 10-01 17:53 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 10-01 04:16 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 04:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.36 |
| 09-29 20:30 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.047 | $1.03 |
| 09-29 04:30 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.95 | $11.40 |
| 09-27 08:14 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.90 |
| 09-23 10:57 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-22 20:06 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.70 |
| 09-22 08:09 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 09-22 07:16 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 09-20 20:06 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.42 | $4.20 |
| 09-20 15:08 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.20 |
| 09-19 02:38 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.08 |