PolyBot

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Traders

0xMirage

0x1128bf495eaf79ca81e0b834801d1724cdaefcc9

Realised P&L
$-250.63
Volume
$65.8k
Markets traded
1,198
Open portfolio
$7.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,198
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by December 31? · Yes0.5400.355$7.10−$3.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET · Up0.3920.000$0.00−$1.96
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET · Down0.6870.000$0.00−$10.57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET · Up0.6380.000$0.00−$8.11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET · Down0.7470.000$0.00−$11.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET · Up0.6460.000$0.00−$6.46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET · Up0.7330.000$0.00−$7.33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET · Up0.4700.000$0.00−$2.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET · Up0.8240.000$0.00−$11.77
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET · Down0.5290.000$0.00−$0.54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET · Down0.4010.000$0.00−$4.01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET · Up0.4500.000$0.00−$2.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET · Up0.1250.000$0.00−$1.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET · Down0.5940.000$0.00−$2.97
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET · Up0.2720.000$0.00−$4.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 10:47Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?SELL0.23$0.31
10-11 10:46Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?SELL0.747$14.94
10-03 20:52Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETBUY0.25$4.55
08-27 10:02Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETBUY0.5299999744$3.10
06-11 13:12Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETSELL0.62$1.22
06-11 13:12Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.5099998317$1.00
05-25 13:09Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETBUY0.299999982$10.00
05-15 14:57Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETSELL0.05$0.50
05-15 14:46Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETSELL0.05$0.25
05-15 14:43Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETSELL0.05$0.50
05-15 14:29Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETSELL0.05$0.50
05-15 10:47Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETSELL0.05$0.50
05-12 16:44Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETSELL0.08$0.80
05-12 16:34Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETSELL0.16$1.60
05-12 16:13Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETSELL0.09$0.90