0xMirage
0x1128bf495eaf79ca81e0b834801d1724cdaefcc9
- Realised P&L
- $-250.63
- Volume
- $65.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,198
- Open portfolio
- $7.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,198
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.48at 0.010Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
- +$25.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
- +$25.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
- +$25.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
- +$25.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 10:47 | Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15? | SELL | 0.23 | $0.31 |
| 10-11 10:46 | Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15? | SELL | 0.747 | $14.94 |
| 10-03 20:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $4.55 |
| 08-27 10:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5299999744 | $3.10 |
| 06-11 13:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | SELL | 0.62 | $1.22 |
| 06-11 13:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 05-25 13:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 05-15 14:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 05-15 14:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 05-15 14:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 05-15 14:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 05-15 10:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 05-12 16:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | SELL | 0.08 | $0.80 |
| 05-12 16:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | SELL | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 05-12 16:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | SELL | 0.09 | $0.90 |