NervousHippo
0x1125c0db4dc9fd9ce421b3e8d239332b484571f1
- Realised P&L
- $6.24
- Volume
- $269.6k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.009 | $1.4k | +$57.98 |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.004 | $219.92 | −$44.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.95at 0.835Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 17:40 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008963215 | $5.00 |
| 08-20 17:37 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.005 | $140.00 |
| 08-20 17:35 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $31.20 |
| 08-20 17:30 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.005 | $10.00 |
| 08-20 17:25 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $80.00 |
| 08-15 19:03 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0052767468 | $5.00 |
| 08-15 19:00 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $70.00 |
| 08-14 22:32 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $70.00 |
| 08-14 16:16 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0065317059 | $2.00 |
| 08-14 16:15 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006 | $19.80 |
| 08-13 12:34 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $80.00 |
| 08-06 09:07 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $101.12 |
| 08-06 08:49 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $80.00 |
| 08-04 16:27 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $40.00 |
| 08-03 17:43 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.006 | $60.00 |