0x1122110eebbDDEB7D36160C56cd531f813bA8C49-1767977475413
0x1122110eebbddeb7d36160c56cd531f813ba8c49
- Realised P&L
- $0.64
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $31.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.078 | $15.60 | +$4.10 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? · No | 0.210 | 1.000 | $4.76 | +$3.76 |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw? · Yes | 0.290 | 1.000 | $3.45 | +$2.45 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? · No | 0.900 | 1.000 | $2.82 | +$0.28 |
| Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31? · No | 0.460 | 1.000 | $2.17 | +$1.17 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · No | 0.810 | 1.000 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31? · No | 0.858 | 1.000 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
| North Korea missile launch by January 31? · No | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? · No | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Trump say "Oil" 15+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday? · No | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.24at 0.420Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$0.16at 0.820Venezuela coup attempt by March 31?
- +$0.09at 0.890Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?
- +$0.05at 0.630Maduro guilty of all counts?
- +$0.02at 0.910Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-17 21:20 | Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? | BUY | 0.0559999498 | $1.00 |
| 02-17 21:20 | Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? | BUY | 0.056 | $3.50 |
| 02-17 21:20 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.71 | $0.96 |
| 02-17 21:20 | Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $0.92 |
| 02-17 21:20 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.29 | $0.63 |
| 02-17 21:19 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.24 |
| 02-17 21:19 | Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.26 |
| 02-17 21:19 | Iran nuclear test before 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $0.99 |
| 02-17 21:19 | Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? | BUY | 0.0560000006 | $6.00 |
| 02-17 21:17 | Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $1.01 |
| 02-17 21:17 | Maduro guilty of all counts? | SELL | 0.66 | $1.04 |
| 02-17 21:16 | Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? | SELL | 0.974 | $1.09 |
| 02-17 21:16 | Venezuela coup attempt by March 31? | SELL | 0.953 | $1.15 |
| 02-17 21:16 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.942 | $2.24 |
| 01-09 19:58 | Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |