sjagger
0x11192208e304bd9850d993bd470d6a6f89f3fd7b
- Realised P&L
- $-83.12
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $9.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.32at 0.190Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
- +$11.17at 0.082Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$11.13at 0.310Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
- +$10.63at 0.340Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
- +$10.63at 0.320Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 18:18 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1679999359 | $1.97 |
| 06-09 17:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 06-09 17:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4299999298 | $3.00 |
| 06-09 17:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 06-03 14:13 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1709998646 | $1.00 |
| 06-01 16:19 | Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting? | BUY | 0.0109999892 | $1.00 |
| 05-29 19:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 05-28 21:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |
| 05-28 19:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 05-28 19:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 05-28 19:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.219999985 | $10.00 |
| 05-28 19:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 05-28 19:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999915 | $10.00 |
| 05-28 19:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 05-28 19:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |