0x11103fba41032dfa9cb4dac4a48a2ebcbcb125e4
- Realised P&L
- $-9.46
- Volume
- $220.25
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $1.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.880 | $1.95 | +$0.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.18at 0.331Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$3.49at 0.371Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$2.95at 0.410Will Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?
- +$2.11at 0.492Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?
- +$1.99at 0.720Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 13:47 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999277 | $1.24 |
| 08-16 13:33 | Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 08-16 05:23 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 08-15 18:23 | Walmart (WMT) Q2 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 3%-4.5%? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 08-13 19:22 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 08-13 11:19 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 08-13 03:11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999286 | $2.00 |
| 08-12 18:04 | Will Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 08-10 22:00 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999446 | $2.00 |
| 08-09 11:55 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? | BUY | 0.5199999896 | $2.00 |
| 08-09 03:54 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $2.00 |
| 08-07 07:44 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 7? | BUY | 0.4299999505 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 11:41 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999208 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 03:41 | Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 19:38 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.479999952 | $2.00 |